Phenotyping patients with ischaemic heart disease at risk of developing heart failure: an analysis of the HOMAGE trial.

AIMS: We aim to characterize the clinical and proteomic profiles of patients at risk of developing heart failure (HF), with and without coronary artery disease (CAD) or prior myocardial infarction (MI). METHODS AND RESULTS: HOMAGE evaluated the effect of spironolactone on plasma and serum markers of fibrosis over 9 months of follow-up in participants with (or at risk of having) CAD, and raised natriuretic peptides. In this post hoc analysis, patients were classified as (i) neither CAD nor MI; (ii) CAD; or (iii) MI. Proteomic between-group differences were evaluated through logistic regression and narrowed using backward stepwise selection and bootstrapping. Among the 527 participants, 28% had neither CAD or MI, 31% had CAD, and 41% had prior MI. Compared with people with neither CAD nor MI, those with CAD had higher baseline plasma concentrations of matrix metalloproteinase-7 (MMP-7), galectin-4 (GAL4), plasminogen activator inhibitor 1 (PAI-1), and lower plasma peptidoglycan recognition protein 1 (PGLYRP1), whilst those with a history of MI had higher plasma MMP-7, neurotrophin-3 (NT3), pulmonary surfactant-associated protein D (PSPD), and lower plasma tumour necrosis factor-related activation-induced cytokine (TRANCE). Proteomic signatures were similar for patients with CAD or prior MI. Treatment with spironolactone was associated with an increase of MMP7, NT3, and PGLYRP1 at 9 months. CONCLUSIONS: In patients at risk of developing HF, those with CAD or MI had a different proteomic profile regarding inflammatory, immunological, and collagen catabolic processes.

Inferior vena cava diameter is associated with prognosis in patients with chronic heart failure independent of tricuspid regurgitation velocity.

AIMS: A high, Doppler-derived, tricuspid regurgitation velocity (TRV) indicates pulmonary hypertension, which may contribute to right ventricular dysfunction and worsening tricuspid regurgitation leading to systemic venous congestion, reflected by an increase in inferior vena cava (IVC) diameter. We hypothesized that venous congestion rather than pulmonary hypertension would be more strongly associated with prognosis. METHODS AND RESULTS: 895 patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) (median (25th and 75th centile) age 75 (67-81) years, 69% men, LVEF 44 (34-55)% and NT-proBNP 1133 (423-2465) pg/ml) were enrolled. Compared to patients with normal IVC (< 21 mm) and TRV (≤ 2.8 m/s; n = 504, 56%), those with high TRV but normal IVC (n = 85, 9%) were older, more likely to be women and to have LVEF ≥ 50%, whilst those with dilated IVC but normal TRV (n = 142, 16%) had more signs of congestion and higher NT-proBNP. Patients (n = 164, 19%) with both dilated IVC and high TRV had the most signs of congestion and the highest NT-proBNP. During follow-up of 860 (435-1121) days, 239 patients died. Compared to those with both normal IVC and TRV (reference), patients with high TRV but normal IVC did not have a significantly increased mortality (HR: 1.41; CI: 0.87-2.29; P = 0.16). Risk was higher for patients with a dilated IVC but normal TRV (HR: 2.51; CI: 1.80-3.51; P < 0.001) or both a dilated IVC and elevated TRV (HR: 3.27; CI: 2.40-4.46; P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Amongst ambulatory patients with CHF, a dilated IVC is more closely associated with an adverse prognosis than an elevated TRV.

Dyskalemia in people at increased risk for heart failure: findings from the heart 'OMics' in AGEing (HOMAGE) trial.

AIMS: In people at risk of heart failure (HF) enrolled in the Heart 'OMics' in AGEing (HOMAGE) trial, spironolactone reduced circulating markers of collagen synthesis, natriuretic peptides, and blood pressure and improved cardiac structure and function. In the present report, we explored factors associated with dyskalaemia. METHODS AND RESULTS: The HOMAGE trial was an open-label study comparing spironolactone (up to 50 mg/day) versus standard care in people at risk for HF. After randomization, serum potassium was assessed at 1 and 9 months and was defined as low when ≤3.5 mmol/L (hypokalaemia) and high when ≥5.5 mmol/L (hyperkalaemia). Multivariable logistic regression models were constructed to identify clinical predictors of dyskalaemia. A total of 513 participants (median age 74 years, 75% men, median estimated glomerular filtration rate 71 mL/min/1.73 m2 ) had serum potassium available and were included in this analysis. At randomization, 88 had potassium < 4.0 mmol/L, 367 had potassium 4.0-5.0 mmol/L, and 58 had potassium > 5.0 mmol/L. During follow-up, on at least one occasion, a serum potassium < 3.5 mmol/L was observed in 6 (1.2%) and <4.0 mmol/L in 46 (9%) participants, while a potassium > 5.0 mmol/L was observed in 38 (8%) and >5.5 mmol/L in 5 (1.0%) participants. The median (percentile25-75 ) increase in serum potassium with spironolactone during the study was 0.23 (0.16; 0.29) mmol/L. Because of the low incidence of dyskalaemia, for regression analysis, hypokalaemia and hyperkalaemia thresholds were set at <4.0 and >5.0 mmol/L, respectively. The occurrence of a serum potassium > 5.0 mmol/L during follow-up was positively associated with the presence of diabetes mellitus {odds ratio [OR]: 1.21 [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.14; 3.79]} and randomization to spironolactone (OR: 2.83 [95% CI 1.49; 5.37]). Conversely, the occurrence of a potassium concentration < 4.0 mmol/L was positively associated with the use of thiazides (OR: 2.39 [95% CI 1.32; 4.34]), blood urea concentration (OR: 2.15 [95% CI 1.34; 3.39] per 10 mg/dL), and history of hypertension (OR: 2.32 [95% CI 1.02; 5.29]) and negatively associated with randomization to spironolactone (OR: 0.30 [95% CI 0.18; 0.52]). CONCLUSIONS: In people at risk for developing HF and with relatively normal renal function, spironolactone reduced the risk of hypokalaemia and, at the doses used, was not associated with the occurrence of clinically meaningful hyperkalaemia.

Dynamic risk stratification using Markov chain modelling in patients with chronic heart failure.

AIMS: Risk changes with the progression of disease and the impact of treatment. We developed a dynamic risk stratification Markov chain model using artificial intelligence in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF). METHODS AND RESULTS: We described the pattern of behaviour among 7496 consecutive patients assessed for suspected HF. The following mutually exclusive health states were defined and assessed every 4 months: death, hospitalization, outpatient visit, no event, and leaving the service altogether (defined as no event at any point following assessment). The observed figures at the first transition (4 months) weres 427 (6%), 1559 (21%), 2254 (30%), 1414 (19%), and 1842 (25%), respectively. The probabilities derived from the first two transitions (i.e. from baseline to 4 months and from 4 to 8 months) were used to construct the model. An example of the model's prediction is that at cycle 4, the cumulative probability of death was 14%; leaving the system, 37%; being hospitalized between 12 and 16 months, 10%; having an outpatient visit, 8%; and having no event, 31%. The corresponding observed figures were 14%, 41%, 10%, 15%, and 21%, respectively. The model predicted that during the first 2 years, a patient had a probability of dying of 0.19, and the observed value was 0.18. CONCLUSIONS: A model derived from the first 8 months of follow-up is strongly predictive of future events in a population of patients with chronic heart failure. The course of CHF is more linear than is commonly supposed, and thus more predictable.

The association between markers of type I collagen synthesis and echocardiographic response to spironolactone in patients at risk of heart failure: findings from the HOMAGE trial.

AIMS: Procollagen type I C-terminal propeptide (PICP) and procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP) are markers reflecting collagen synthesis in cardiac fibrosis. However, they may be influenced by the presence of non-cardiac comorbidities (e.g. ageing, obesity, renal impairment). Understanding the associations between markers of collagen synthesis and abnormalities of cardiac structure and function is important to screen for myocardial fibrosis and monitor the antifibrotic effect of medications. METHODS AND RESULTS: The HOMAGE (Heart 'OMics' in AGEing) trial showed that spironolactone decreased serum PICP concentrations and improved cardiac remodelling over 9 months in a population at risk of developing heart failure (HF). We evaluated the associations between echocardiographic variables, PICP, PIIINP and galectin-3 at baseline and during the course of the trial. Among 527 individuals (74 ± 7 years, 26% women), median serum concentrations of PICP, PIIINP and galectin-3 were 80.6 µg/L (65.1-97.0), 3.9 µg/L (3.1-5.0), and 16.1 µg/L (13.5-19.7), respectively. After adjustment for potential confounders, higher serum PICP was significantly associated with left ventricular hypertrophy, left atrial enlargement, and greater ventricular stiffness (all p < 0.05), whereas serum PIIINP and galectin-3 were not (all p > 0.05). In patients treated with spironolactone, a reduction in serum PICP during the trial was associated with a decrease in E/e' (adjusted-beta = 0.93, 95% confidence interval 0.14-1.73; p = 0.022). CONCLUSIONS: In individuals at high risk of developing HF, serum PICP was associated with cardiac structural and functional abnormalities, and a decrease in PICP with spironolactone was correlated with improved diastolic dysfunction as assessed by E/e'. In contrast, no such associations were present for serum PIIINP and galectin-3.

Influence of ejection fraction on biomarker expression and response to spironolactone in people at risk of heart failure: findings from the HOMAGE trial.

AIMS: Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) can provide haemodynamic information and may influence the response to spironolactone and other heart failure (HF) therapies. We aimed to study patient characteristics and circulating protein associations with LVEF, and whether LVEF influenced the response to spironolactone. METHODS AND RESULTS: HOMAGE enrolled patients aged >60 years at high risk of developing HF with a LVEF ≥45%. Overall, 527 patients were randomized to either spironolactone or standard of care for ≈9 months, and 276 circulating proteins were measured using Olink® technology. A total of 364 patients had available LVEF determined by the Simpson's biplane method. The respective LVEF tertiles were: tertile 1: <60% (n = 122), tertile 2: 60%-65% (n = 121), and tertile 3: >65% (n = 121). Patients with a LVEF >65% had smaller left ventricular chamber size and volumes, and lower natriuretic peptide levels. Compared to patients with a LVEF <60%, those with LVEF >65% had higher levels of circulating c-c motif chemokine ligand-23 and interleukin-8, and lower levels of tissue plasminogen activator, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), S100 calcium binding protein A12, and collagen type I alpha 1 chain (COL1A1). Spironolactone significantly reduced the circulating levels of BNP and COL1A1 without significant treatment-by-LVEF heterogeneity: BNP change ß = -0.36 log2 and COL1A1 change ß = -0.16 log2 (p < 0.0001 for both; interaction p > 0.1 for both). Spironolactone increased LVEF from baseline to month 9 by 1.1% (p = 0.007). CONCLUSION: Patients with higher LVEF had higher circulating levels of chemokines and inflammatory markers and lower levels of stretch, injury, and fibrosis markers. Spironolactone reduced the circulating levels of natriuretic peptides and type 1 collagen, and increased LVEF.

Biomarker-based assessment of collagen cross-linking identifies patients at risk of heart failure more likely to benefit from spironolactone effects on left atrial remodelling. Insights from the HOMAGE clinical trial.

AIMS: The HOMAGE randomized trial found that spironolactone reduced left atrial volume index (LAVI), E:A ratio, and a marker of collagen type I synthesis (procollagen type I C-terminal propeptide) in patients at risk of heart failure (HF). Previous trials showed that patients with HF, preserved ejection fraction and low serum collagen type I C-terminal telopeptide to matrix metalloproteinase-1 ratio (CITP:MMP-1), associated with high collagen cross-linking, had less improvement in diastolic function with spironolactone. We evaluated the interaction between serum CITP:MMP-1 and spironolactone on cardiac function in the HOMAGE trial. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients at risk of HF were randomized to spironolactone (n = 260) or not (n = 255). Blood sampling and echocardiography were done at baseline, one and nine months. CITP:MMP-1 was used as an indirect measure of collagen cross-linking. Higher baseline CITP:MMP-1 (i.e. lower collagen cross-linking) was associated with greater reductions in LAVI with spironolactone at both one (p = 0.003) and nine (p = 0.01) months, but no interaction was observed for E:A ratio. Spironolactone reduced LAVI after one and nine months only for those patients in the third tertile of CITP:MMP-1 (estimated lowest collagen cross-linking) [mean differencesspiro/control : -1.77 (95% confidence interval, CI -2.94 to -0.59) and -2.52 (95% CI -4.46 to -0.58) mL/m2 ; interaction pacross-tertiles  = 0.005; interaction pthird tertile  = 0.008] with a similar trend for N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide which was consistently reduced by spironolactone only in the lowest collagen cross-linking tertile [mean differencesspiro/control : -0.47 (95% CI -0.66 to -0.28) and -0.31 (95% CI -0.59 to -0.04) ng/L; interaction pacross-tertiles  = 0.09; interaction pthird tertile < 0.001]. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that, for patients at risk of HF, the effects of spironolactone on left atrial remodelling may be more prominent in patients with less collagen cross-linking (indirectly assessed by serum CITP:MMP-1).

The Effect of Spironolactone in Patients With Obesity at Risk for Heart Failure: Proteomic Insights from the HOMAGE Trial.

BACKGROUND: Adipose tissue influences the expression and degradation of circulating biomarkers. We aimed to identify the biomarker profile and biological meaning of biomarkers associated with obesity to assess the effect of spironolactone on the circulating biomarkers and to explore whether obesity might modify the effect of spironolactone. METHODS AND RESULTS: Protein biomarkers (n = 276) from the Olink Proseek-Multiplex cardiovascular and inflammation panels were measured in plasma collected at baseline, 1 month and 9 months from the HOMAGE randomized controlled trial participants. Of the 510 participants, 299 had obesity defined as an increased waist circumference (≥102 cm in men and ≥88 cm in women). Biomarkers at baseline reflected adipogenesis, increased vascularization, decreased fibrinolysis, and glucose intolerance in patients with obesity at baseline. Treatment with spironolactone had only minor effects on this proteomic profile. Obesity modified the effect of spironolactone on systolic blood pressure (Pinteraction = 0.001), showing a stronger decrease of blood pressure in obese patients (-14.8 mm Hg 95% confidence interval -18.45 to -11.12) compared with nonobese patients (-3.6 mm Hg 95% confidence interval -7.82 to 0.66). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients at risk for heart failure, those with obesity have a characteristic proteomic profile reflecting adipogenesis and glucose intolerance. Spironolactone had only minor effects on this obesity-related proteomic profile, but obesity significantly modified the effect of spironolactone on systolic blood pressure.

Spironolactone effect on the blood pressure of patients at risk of developing heart failure: an analysis from the HOMAGE trial.

AIMS: Uncontrolled blood pressure (BP) increases the risk of developing heart failure (HF). The effect of spironolactone on BP of patients at risk of developing HF is yet to be determined. To evaluate the effect of spironolactone on the BP of patients at risk for HF and whether renin can predict spironolactone's effect. METHODS AND RESULTS: HOMAGE (Heart OMics in Aging) was a prospective multicentre randomized open-label blinded endpoint (PROBE) trial including 527 patients at risk for developing HF randomly assigned to either spironolactone (25-50 mg/day) or usual care alone for a maximum of 9 months. Sitting BP was assessed at baseline, Months 1 and 9 (or last visit). Analysis of covariance (ANCOVA), mixed effects models, and structural modelling equations was used. The median (percentile25-75) age was 73 (69-79) years, 26% were female, and >75% had history of hypertension. Overall, the baseline BP was 142/78 mmHg. Patients with higher BP were older, more likely to have diabetes and less likely to have coronary artery disease, had greater left ventricular mass (LVM), and left atrial volume (LAV). Compared with usual care, by last visit, spironolactone changed SBP by -10.3 (-13.0 to -7.5) mmHg and DBP by -3.2 (-4.8 to -1.7) mmHg (P < 0.001 for both). A higher proportion of patients on spironolactone had controlled BP <130/80 mmHg (36 vs. 26%; P = 0.014). Lower baseline renin levels predicted a greater response to spironolactone (interactionP = 0.041). CONCLUSION: Spironolactone had a clinically important BP-lowering effect. Spironolactone should be considered for lowering blood pressure in patients who are at risk of developing HF.

Proteomic mechanistic profile of patients with diabetes at risk of developing heart failure: insights from the HOMAGE trial.

BACKGROUND: Patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) are at increased risk of developing heart failure (HF). The "Heart OMics in AGEing" (HOMAGE) trial suggested that spironolactone had beneficial effect on fibrosis and cardiac remodelling in an at risk population, potentially slowing the progression towards HF. We compared the proteomic profile of patients with and without diabetes among patients at risk for HF in the HOMAGE trial. METHODS: Protein biomarkers (n = 276) from the Olink®Proseek-Multiplex cardiovascular and inflammation panels were measured in plasma collected at baseline and 9 months (or last visit) from HOMAGE trial participants including 217 patients with, and 310 without, diabetes. RESULTS: Twenty-one biomarkers were increased and five decreased in patients with diabetes compared to non-diabetics at baseline. The markers clustered mainly within inflammatory and proteolytic pathways, with granulin as the key-hub, as revealed by knowledge-induced network and subsequent gene enrichment analysis. Treatment with spironolactone in diabetic patients did not lead to large changes in biomarkers. The effects of spironolactone on NTproBNP, fibrosis biomarkers and echocardiographic measures of diastolic function were similar in patients with and without diabetes (all interaction analyses p > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Amongst patients at risk for HF, those with diabetes have higher plasma concentrations of proteins involved in inflammation and proteolysis. Diabetes does not influence the effects of spironolactone on the proteomic profile, and spironolactone produced anti-fibrotic, anti-remodelling, blood pressure and natriuretic peptide lowering effects regardless of diabetes status.  Trial registration NCT02556450.

Proteomic and Mechanistic Analysis of Spironolactone in Patients at Risk for HF.

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to further understand the mechanisms underlying effect of spironolactone and assessed its impact on multiple plasma protein biomarkers and their respective underlying biologic pathways. BACKGROUND: In addition to their beneficial effects in established heart failure (HF), mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists may act upstream on mechanisms, preventing incident HF. In people at risk for developing HF, the HOMAGE (Heart OMics in AGEing) trial showed that spironolactone treatment could provide antifibrotic and antiremodeling effects, potentially slowing the progression to HF. METHODS: Baseline, 1-month, and 9-month (or last visit) plasma samples of HOMAGE participants were measured for protein biomarkers (n = 276) by using Olink Proseek-Multiplex cardiovascular and inflammation panels (Olink, Uppsala, Sweden). The effect of spironolactone on biomarkers was assessed by analysis of covariance and explored by knowledge-based network analysis. RESULTS: A total of 527 participants were enrolled; 265 were randomized to spironolactone (25 to 50 mg/day) and 262 to standard care ("control"). The median (interquartile range) age was 73 years (69 to 79 years), and 26% were female. Spironolactone reduced biomarkers of collagen metabolism (e.g., COL1A1, MMP-2); brain natriuretic peptide; and biomarkers related to metabolic processes (e.g., PAPPA), inflammation, and thrombosis (e.g., IL17A, VEGF, and urokinase). Spironolactone increased biomarkers that reflect the blockade of the mineralocorticoid receptor (e.g., renin) and increased the levels of adipokines involved in the anti-inflammatory response (e.g., RARRES2) and biomarkers of hemostasis maintenance (e.g., tPA, UPAR), myelosuppressive activity (e.g., CCL16), insulin suppression (e.g., RETN), and inflammatory regulation (e.g., IL-12B). CONCLUSIONS: Proteomic analyses suggest that spironolactone exerts pleiotropic effects including reduction in fibrosis, inflammation, thrombosis, congestion, and vascular function improvement, all of which may mediate cardiovascular protective effects, potentially slowing progression toward heart failure. (HOMAGE [Bioprofiling Response to Mineralocorticoid Receptor Antagonists for the Prevention of Heart Failure]; NCT02556450).

The effect of spironolactone on cardiovascular function and markers of fibrosis in people at increased risk of developing heart failure: the heart 'OMics' in AGEing (HOMAGE) randomized clinical trial.

AIMS: To investigate the effects of spironolactone on fibrosis and cardiac function in people at increased risk of developing heart failure. METHODS AND RESULTS: Randomized, open-label, blinded-endpoint trial comparing spironolactone (50 mg/day) or control for up to 9 months in people with, or at high risk of, coronary disease and raised plasma B-type natriuretic peptides. The primary endpoint was the interaction between baseline serum galectin-3 and changes in serum procollagen type-III N-terminal pro-peptide (PIIINP) in participants assigned to spironolactone or control. Procollagen type-I C-terminal pro-peptide (PICP) and collagen type-1 C-terminal telopeptide (CITP), reflecting synthesis and degradation of type-I collagen, were also measured. In 527 participants (median age 73 years, 26% women), changes in PIIINP were similar for spironolactone and control [mean difference (mdiff): -0.15; 95% confidence interval (CI) -0.44 to 0.15 µg/L; P = 0.32] but those receiving spironolactone had greater reductions in PICP (mdiff: -8.1; 95% CI -11.9 to -4.3 µg/L; P < 0.0001) and PICP/CITP ratio (mdiff: -2.9; 95% CI -4.3 to -1.5; <0.0001). No interactions with serum galectin were observed. Systolic blood pressure (mdiff: -10; 95% CI -13 to -7 mmHg; P < 0.0001), left atrial volume (mdiff: -1; 95% CI -2 to 0 mL/m2; P = 0.010), and NT-proBNP (mdiff: -57; 95% CI -81 to -33 ng/L; P < 0.0001) were reduced in those assigned spironolactone. CONCLUSIONS: Galectin-3 did not identify greater reductions in serum concentrations of collagen biomarkers in response to spironolactone. However, spironolactone may influence type-I collagen metabolism. Whether spironolactone can delay or prevent progression to symptomatic heart failure should be investigated.

Effects of spironolactone on serum markers of fibrosis in people at high risk of developing heart failure: rationale, design and baseline characteristics of a proof-of-concept, randomised, precision-medicine, prevention trial. The Heart OMics in AGing (HOMAGE) trial.

AIMS: Asymptomatic patients with coronary artery disease (CAD), hypertension and/or type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are at greater risk of developing heart failure (HF). Fibrosis, leading to myocardial and vascular dysfunction, might be an important pathway of progression. The Heart OMics in AGing (HOMAGE) trial aims to investigate the effects of spironolactone on serum markers of collagen metabolism and on cardiovascular structure and function in people at risk of developing HF and potential interactions with a marker of fibrogenic activity, galectin-3. METHODS AND RESULTS: The HOMAGE trial is a prospective, randomised, open-label, blinded endpoint (PROBE) study comparing spironolactone (up to 50 mg/day) and standard care over 9 months in people with clinical risk factors for developing HF, including hypertension, CAD and T2DM, and elevated plasma concentrations of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP, 125 to 1000 ng/L) or B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP, 35 to 280 ng/L). Exclusion criteria included left ventricular ejection fraction < 45%, atrial fibrillation, severe renal dysfunction, or treatment with loop diuretics. The primary endpoint was the interaction between change in serum concentrations of procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP) and treatment with spironolactone according to median plasma concentrations of galectin-3 at baseline. For the 527 participants enrolled, median (interquartile range) age was 73 (69-79) years, 135 (26%) were women, 412 (78%) had hypertension, 377 (72%) CAD, and 212 (40%) T2DM. At baseline, medians (interquartile ranges) were for left ventricular ejection fraction 63 (58-67) %, for left atrial volume index 31 (26-37) mL/m2 , for plasma NT-proBNP 214 (137-356) ng/L, for serum PIIINP 3.9 (3.1-5.0) ng/mL, and for galectin-3 16.1 (13.5-19.7) ng/mL. CONCLUSIONS: The HOMAGE trial will provide insights on the effect of spironolactone on pathways that might drive progression to HF. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02556450.

High-sensitivity C-reactive protein in chronic heart failure: patient characteristics, phenotypes, and mode of death.

AIMS: Plasma concentrations of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) are often raised in chronic heart failure (CHF) and might indicate inflammatory processes that could be a therapeutic target. We aimed to study the associations between hsCRP, mode and cause of death in patients with CHF. METHODS AND RESULTS: We enrolled 4423 patients referred to a heart failure clinic serving a local population. CHF was defined as relevant symptoms or signs with either a reduced left ventricular ejection fraction <40% or raised plasma concentrations of amino-terminal pro-B type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP >125 pg/mL). The median [interquartile range (IQR)] plasma hsCRP for patients diagnosed with CHF (n = 3756) was 3.9 (1.6-8.5) mg/L and 2.7 (1.3-5.1) mg/L for those who were not (n = 667; P < 0.001). Patients with hsCRP ≥10 mg/L (N = 809; 22%) were older and more congested than those with hsCRP <2 mg/L (N = 1117, 30%). During a median follow-up of 53 (IQR 28-93) months, 1784 (48%) patients with CHF died. Higher plasma hsCRP was associated with greater mortality, independent of age, symptom severity, creatinine, and NT-proBNP. Comparing a hsCRP ≥10 mg/L to <2 mg/L, the hazard ratio for all-cause mortality was 2.49 (95% confidence interval 2.19-2.84; P < 0.001), for cardiovascular (CV) mortality was 2.26 (1.91-2.68; P < 0.001), and for non-CV mortality was 2.96 (2.40-3.65; P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: In patients with CHF, a raised plasma hsCRP is associated with more congestion and a worse prognosis. The proportion of deaths that are non-CV also increases with higher hsCRP.

Prevalence, pattern and clinical relevance of ultrasound indices of congestion in outpatients with heart failure.

AIMS: Even if treatment controls symptoms, patients with heart failure may still be congested. We aimed at assessing the prevalence and clinical relevance of congestion in outpatients with chronic heart failure. METHODS AND RESULTS: We recorded clinical and ultrasound [lung B-lines; inferior vena cava (IVC) diameter; internal jugular vein diameter before and after a Valsalva manoeuvre (JVD ratio)] features of congestion in heart failure patients during a routine check-up. Of 342 patients who attended, predominantly in New York Heart Association class I or II (n = 257; 75%), 242 (71%) had at least one feature of congestion, either clinical (n = 139; 41%) or by ultrasound (n = 199; 58%). Amongst patients (n = 203, 59%) clinically free of congestion, 31 (15%) had ≥ 14 B-lines, 57 (29%) had a dilated IVC (> 2.0 cm), 38 (20%) had an abnormal JVD ratio (< 4), 87 (43%) had at least one of these, and 27 (13%) had two or more. During a median follow-up of 234 (interquartile range 136-351) days, 60 patients (18%) died or were hospitalized for heart failure. In univariable analysis, each clinical and ultrasound measure of congestion was associated with increased risk but, in multivariable models, only higher N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and IVC, and lower JVD ratio, were associated with the composite outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Many patients with chronic heart failure with few symptoms have objective evidence of congestion and this is associated with an adverse prognosis. Whether using these measures of congestion to guide management improves outcomes requires investigation.

Prognostic significance of ultrasound-assessed jugular vein distensibility in heart failure.

AIMS: Jugular venous distension is a classical sign of heart failure (HF) but it can be difficult to assess clinically. METHODS AND RESULTS: Outpatients with HF and control subjects were assessed. Internal jugular vein diameter (JVD) was measured using a linear high-frequency ultrasound probe (10 MHz) at rest, after a Valsalva manoeuvre and during deep inspiration. JVD ratio was calculated as the maximum diameter during Valsalva to that measured at rest. 311 patients (mean age 71 years, mean left ventricular EF 42%, median (IQR) amino-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide 979 (441-2007) ng/L) and 66 controls were included. JVD (median and IQR range) at rest was smaller in controls (0.16 (0.14-0.20) cm) than in patients with HF (0.23 (0.17-0.33) cm; p<0.001) but similar during Valsalva (1.03 (0.90-1.16) cm vs 1.08 (0.90-1.25) cm; p=0.28). Consequently, JVD ratio was greater in controls (6.3 (4.9-7.6)) than in patients (4.5 (2.9-6.1); p<0.001). During a median follow-up of 516 (IQR 335-622) days, 48 patients (15%) with HF died or were hospitalised for HF. In multivariable models, among clinical, echocardiographic or biochemical variables, only increasing NT-proBNP and ultrasound assessment of internal jugular vein were independently associated with prognosis. Comparing top and bottom tertiles of JVD ratio (2.3 (IQR 1.7-2.9) versus 6.8 (6.1-7.7)), the tertile with lower values had a 10-fold greater risk of an adverse event (HR 10.05, 95% CI 3.07 to 32.93). CONCLUSIONS: Ultrasound assessment of the internal jugular vein identifies outpatients with HF who have a higher risk of an adverse outcome. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT01872299.